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Confronto WXSIM Vs. Yr.No





Comparazione Previsionale tra WxSim & YR.NO



Norwegian meteorological institute (YR), Osservazioni attuali (Act), Generato WxSim (WS)

Previsioni Mattino
Aggiornato: 14-05-17 alle 08:00
Goal Tendenza Giorno Giorno +1 Giorno +2 Giorno +3
± 2.0° C Max Min Max Min Max Min Max Min
Data YR Act WS YR Act WS YR Act WS YR Act WS YR Act WS YR Act WS YR Act WS YR Act WS
14-05-17 23   26 17   16 23   25 15   16 22   25 14   15 21   24 16   15
12-05-17 25 26.6°C 26 16 13.6°C 17 26   25 16   16 24   25 15   16 22   23 16   16
11-05-17 17 19.2°C 22 14 16.2°C 17 25 26.6°C 28 16 13.6°C 16 26   26 16   17 24   26 16   16
10-05-17 19 21.3°C 23 12 13.6°C 13 19 19.2°C 22 13 16.2°C 17 26 26.6°C 29 16 13.6°C 16 25   25 16   16
09-05-17 16 19.2°C 19 12 11.8°C 13 19 21.3°C 22 11 13.6°C 13 19 19.2°C 22 13 16.2°C 18 26 26.6°C 29 16 13.6°C 17
08-05-17 17 18.6°C 18 16 11.8°C 12 16 19.2°C 15 12 11.8°C 10 20 21.3°C 17 10 13.6°C 12 19 19.2°C 22 13 16.2°C 18
07-05-17 23 21.8°C 23 17 11.2°C 13 17 18.6°C 21 11 11.8°C 13 18 19.2°C 21 11 11.8°C 11 20 21.3°C 20 11 13.6°C 12
06-05-17 21 23.5°C 24 12 12.8°C 13 22 21.8°C 22 14 11.2°C 13 18 18.6°C 21 12 11.8°C 12 16 19.2°C 21 11 11.8°C 11
05-05-17 21 24.1°C 25 13 9.6°C 14 21 23.5°C 26 10 12.8°C 14 20 21.8°C 24 14 11.2°C 13 20 18.6°C 21 14 11.8°C 13
04-05-17 22 24.6°C 23 18 11.4°C 12 20 24.1°C 24 12 9.6°C 13 21 23.5°C 24 11 12.8°C 15 25 21.8°C 23 14 11.2°C 13
03-05-17 20 21.9°C 23 16 8.4°C 12 21 24.6°C 23 10 11.4°C 12 19 24.1°C 23 12 9.6°C 12 21 23.5°C 23 11 12.8°C 14
02-05-17 20 20.6°C 23 16 11.9°C 12 20 21.9°C 23 11 8.4°C 13 22 24.6°C 23 10 11.4°C 13 17 24.1°C 22 12 9.6°C 12
01-05-17 20 22.4°C 22 11 11.1°C 10 20 20.6°C 23 11 11.9°C 12 21 21.9°C 23 11 8.4°C 13 21 24.6°C 23 11 11.4°C 13
30-04-17 16 16.8°C 19 11 8.3°C 9 20 22.4°C 22 8 11.1°C 10 21 20.6°C 23 10 11.9°C 12 23 21.9°C 23 10 8.4°C 13
Risultati YR Act WS YR Act WS YR Act WS YR Act WS YR Act WS YR Act WS YR Act WS YR Act WS
# Succ 6 10 4 10 6 7 4 9 8 5 5 7 5 6 4 7
% Succ 46.2   76.9 30.8   76.9 50.0   58.3 33.3   75.0 72.7   45.5 45.5   63.6 50.0   60.0 40.0   70.0
Ave Error 2.0   1.2 3.2   1.4 2.0   1.7 2.1   1.6 1.6   2.1 2.1   1.8 2.4   1.7 2.0   2.0
Net Error -1.8   0.7 2.5   1.2 -2.0   0.6 -0.4   1.1 -1.5   0.8 -0.2   1.3 -1.3   0.6 0.3   1.6
Std Dev 0.9   0.8 2.5   1.4 1.4   1.3 1.2   1.3 1.5   1.4 1.4   1.1 1.9   1.2 1.4   1.5

Previsioni Pomeriggio
Aggiornato: 22-05-17 alle 23:00
Goal Tendenza Giorno Giorno +1 Giorno +2 Giorno +3
± 2.0° C Min Max Min Max Min Max Min Max
Data YR Act WS YR Act WS YR Act WS YR Act WS YR Act WS YR Act WS YR Act WS YR Act WS
22-05-17 23   16 21   25 25   16 15   26 24   17 16   26 20   16 16   24
21-05-17 19 13.6°C 21 18 20.0°C 15 22   24 15   15 23   25 15   16 24   26 16   16
20-05-17 23 26.5°C 26 20 13.6°C 15 19 13.6°C 22 12 20.0°C 15 22   24 15   16 24   26 15   16
19-05-17 25 28.2°C 27 24 13.6°C 14 23 26.5°C 25 16 13.6°C 15 19 13.6°C 21 12 20.0°C 15 23   23 15   15
18-05-17 22 24.1°C 24 20 13.6°C 14 25 28.2°C 26 14 13.6°C 14 24 26.5°C 25 14 13.6°C 14 17 13.6°C 21 14 20.0°C 14
17-05-17 21 23.4°C 23 20 13.6°C 15 22 24.1°C 24 14 13.6°C 13 25 28.2°C 26 14 13.6°C 14 24 26.5°C 24 17 13.6°C 14
16-05-17 21 23.6°C 24 20 13.6°C 16 21 23.4°C 23 15 13.6°C 15 22 24.1°C 24 14 13.6°C 13 26 28.2°C 26 16 13.6°C 14
15-05-17 22 24.3°C 25 21 13.6°C 16 22 23.6°C 24 14 13.6°C 15 22 23.4°C 23 14 13.6°C 15 23 24.1°C 24 15 13.6°C 14
14-05-17 24 26.1°C 26 22 13.6°C 16 23 24.3°C 25 16 13.6°C 16 22 23.6°C 25 14 13.6°C 15 20 23.4°C 24 16 13.6°C 15
11-05-17 19 26.6°C 19 17 13.6°C 16 26 26.1°C 27 16 13.6°C 16 26 24.3°C 26 16 13.6°C 16 24 23.6°C 26 17 13.6°C 17
10-05-17 19 21.3°C 22 19 13.6°C 14 18 26.6°C 22 13 13.6°C 17 25 26.1°C 28 15 13.6°C 17 25 24.3°C 25 16 13.6°C 16
09-05-17 17 19.2°C 20 16 11.8°C 11 20 21.3°C 22 10 13.6°C 11 19 26.6°C 22 13 13.6°C 18 28 26.1°C 28 16 13.6°C 16
08-05-17 17 18.6°C 19 17 11.8°C 12 16 19.2°C 16 12 11.8°C 11 20 21.3°C 18 10 13.6°C 12 18 26.6°C 22 13 13.6°C 18
07-05-17 18 21.8°C 21 17 11.2°C 12 17 18.6°C 21 11 11.8°C 12 16 19.2°C 20 12 11.8°C 10 18 21.3°C 20 12 13.6°C 12
Risultati YR Act WS YR Act WS YR Act WS YR Act WS YR Act WS YR Act WS YR Act WS YR Act WS
# Succ 1 11 1 8 5 7 7 7 5 7 8 7 4 5 3 5
% Succ 7.7   84.6 7.7   61.5 41.7   58.3 58.3   58.3 45.5   63.6 72.7   63.6 40.0   50.0 30.0   50.0
Ave Error 3.2   1.6 6.0   1.6 2.9   2.1 1.9   1.8 2.8   2.3 1.7   2.1 2.8   2.4 2.6   2.3
Net Error -2.3   -0.0 5.7   0.7 -2.0   0.1 -0.3   0.3 -1.5   0.1 -0.6   0.4 -1.5   0.2 1.0   0.8
Std Dev 1.8   2.6 2.6   1.3 2.4   2.4 2.2   1.4 1.9   2.2 2.3   1.7 2.0   2.4 2.0   2.2

Previsioni Sera
Aggiornato: 21-05-17 alle 20:00
Goal Tendenza Giorno Giorno +1 Giorno +2 Giorno +3
± 2.0° C Min Max Min Max Min Max Min Max
Data YR Act WS YR Act WS YR Act WS YR Act WS YR Act WS YR Act WS YR Act WS YR Act WS
21-05-17 15   15 15   24 15   15 22   26 15   16 23   25 16   16 24   24
20-05-17 15 13.6°C 14 15 26.5°C 21 12   14 19   24 15   15 22   25 15   15 24   24
19-05-17 18 13.6°C 15 18 28.2°C 26 16 13.6°C 14 23 26.5°C 20 12   15 19   24 15   16 23   24
18-05-17 16 13.6°C 14 16 24.1°C 26 14 13.6°C 15 25 28.2°C 26 14 13.6°C 15 24 26.5°C 21 14   15 17   24
17-05-17 17 13.6°C 15 17 23.4°C 24 14 13.6°C 13 22 24.1°C 26 14 13.6°C 14 25 28.2°C 24 17 13.6°C 14 24 26.5°C 19
16-05-17 16 13.6°C 16 16 23.6°C 23 15 13.6°C 15 21 23.4°C 24 14 13.6°C 14 22 24.1°C 26 16 13.6°C 15 26 28.2°C 26
15-05-17 16 13.6°C 16 16 24.3°C 24 14 13.6°C 16 22 23.6°C 23 14 13.6°C 15 22 23.4°C 25 15 13.6°C 14 23 24.1°C 26
14-05-17 16 13.6°C 16 16 26.1°C 25 16 13.6°C 16 23 24.3°C 24 14 13.6°C 15 22 23.6°C 23 16 13.6°C 14 20 23.4°C 22
13-05-17 17 13.6°C 17 17 26.6°C 26 15 13.6°C 16 24 26.1°C 25 16 13.6°C 17 23 24.3°C 24 15 13.6°C 15 22 23.6°C 24
11-05-17 16 16.2°C 16 16 19.2°C 28 16 13.6°C 18 26 26.6°C 26 16 13.6°C 15 26 26.1°C 26 17 13.6°C 16 24 24.3°C 25
10-05-17 13 13.6°C 14 13 21.3°C 21 13 16.2°C 17 18 19.2°C 28 15 13.6°C 16 25 26.6°C 26 16 13.6°C 16 25 26.1°C 26
09-05-17 11 11.8°C 12 11 19.2°C 22 10 13.6°C 13 20 21.3°C 23 13 16.2°C 18 19 19.2°C 28 16 13.6°C 16 28 26.6°C 25
08-05-17 13 11.8°C 12 13 18.6°C 20 12 11.8°C 11 16 19.2°C 21 10 13.6°C 12 20 21.3°C 23 13 16.2°C 19 18 19.2°C 28
07-05-17 13 11.2°C 12 13 21.8°C 21 11 11.8°C 13 17 18.6°C 19 12 11.8°C 10 16 19.2°C 20 12 13.6°C 12 18 21.3°C 22
Risultati YR Act WS YR Act WS YR Act WS YR Act WS YR Act WS YR Act WS YR Act WS YR Act WS
# Succ 6 9 0 9 7 8 6 9 7 9 7 8 3 6 6 7
% Succ 46.2   69.2     69.2 58.3   66.7 50.0   75.0 63.6   81.8 63.6   72.7 30.0   60.0 60.0   70.0
Ave Error 2.1   1.2 8.1   2.1 1.6   1.6 2.0   2.2 1.4   1.6 1.7   2.4 2.4   1.6 1.8   2.5
Net Error 1.8   1.2 -8.1   0.3 0.3   1.2 -2.0   0.3 0.1   1.0 -1.7   0.3 1.4   1.2 -1.5   -0.0
Std Dev 1.3   1.1 3.1   2.4 1.2   1.3 1.1   2.7 1.1   1.1 1.1   2.1 1.6   1.2 1.4   2.4

Previsioni Notte
Aggiornato: 14-05-17 alle 05:00
Goal Tendenza Giorno Giorno +1 Giorno +2 Giorno +3
± 2.0° C Max Min Max Min Max Min Max Min
Data YR Act WS YR Act WS YR Act WS YR Act WS YR Act WS YR Act WS YR Act WS YR Act WS
14-05-17 17   26 17   15 24   25 15   16 23   25 16   16 22   25 15   15
12-05-17 25 26.6°C 27 16 16.2°C 17 26   25 16   16 24   25 15   17 22   24 16   16
11-05-17 13 19.2°C 20 13 13.6°C 16 18 26.6°C 27 13 16.2°C 15 25   25 15   16 25   26 16   16
10-05-17 19 21.3°C 22 12 11.8°C 12 19 19.2°C 22 13 13.6°C 18 26 26.6°C 28 16 16.2°C 17 25   26 16   15
09-05-17 13 19.2°C 19 13 11.8°C 11 16 21.3°C 21 12 11.8°C 12 20 19.2°C 21 10 13.6°C 18 18 26.6°C 28 13 16.2°C 17
08-05-17 13 18.6°C 18 13 11.2°C 11 17 19.2°C 15 11 11.8°C 10 16 21.3°C 17 12 11.8°C 12 18 19.2°C 20 12 13.6°C 17
07-05-17 14 21.8°C 23 14 12.8°C 13 21 18.6°C 20 14 11.2°C 13 17 19.2°C 21 12 11.8°C 13 15 21.3°C 20 13 11.8°C 12
06-05-17 21 23.5°C 25 12 9.6°C 14 22 21.8°C 23 14 12.8°C 13 18 18.6°C 21 12 11.2°C 13 16 19.2°C 22 11 11.8°C 12
05-05-17 14 24.1°C 23 14 11.4°C 12 22 23.5°C 24 11 9.6°C 13 21 21.8°C 22 11 12.8°C 13 20 18.6°C 21 14 11.2°C 12
04-05-17 22 24.6°C 22 12 8.4°C 10 20 24.1°C 22 12 11.4°C 11 21 23.5°C 23 11 9.6°C 13 25 21.8°C 24 14 12.8°C 13
03-05-17 20 21.9°C 23 13 11.9°C 11 21 24.6°C 23 10 8.4°C 12 19 24.1°C 23 12 11.4°C 13 21 23.5°C 24 11 9.6°C 14
02-05-17 14 20.6°C 24 14 11.1°C 13 21 21.9°C 23 10 11.9°C 13 20 24.6°C 23 11 8.4°C 13 22 24.1°C 22 12 11.4°C 13
01-05-17 10 22.4°C 23 10 8.3°C 10 20 20.6°C 23 9 11.1°C 12 20 21.9°C 23 11 11.9°C 13 23 24.6°C 23 11 8.4°C 13
30-04-17 12 16.8°C 19 12 8.7°C 12 17 22.4°C 22 10 8.3°C 12 20 20.6°C 23 8 11.1°C 12 21 21.9°C 23 12 11.9°C 13
Risultati YR Act WS YR Act WS YR Act WS YR Act WS YR Act WS YR Act WS YR Act WS YR Act WS
# Succ 2 10 8 10 5 8 9 8 6 8 8 8 4 6 7 7
% Succ 15.4   76.9 61.5   76.9 41.7   66.7 75.0   66.7 54.5   72.7 72.7   72.7 40.0   60.0 70.0   70.0
Ave Error 5.4   1.3 1.8   1.5 2.9   1.5 1.5   1.9 2.3   1.7 1.4   1.8 3.1   1.6 1.6   1.7
Net Error -5.4   0.6 1.6   1.2 -2.5   0.1 0.1   1.3 -2.1   0.3 -0.3   1.8 -2.2   0.6 0.4   1.7
Std Dev 3.5   0.9 1.1   1.2 2.6   1.2 1.0   1.5 2.0   1.3 1.2   1.5 2.9   1.2 1.2   1.5

File ErrDate ed ErrDep da WXSIM (Autolearn - Grafici Correzione Errori) Elaborati alle 02:00 di ogni giorno.

Grafico - WXSIM - ErrDate
WXSIM - ErrDate - Graph
Ultimo agg.to: 14 May 2017 05:20.
Grafico - WXSIM - ErrDep
WXSIM - ErrDep - Graph
Ultimo agg.to: 14 May 2017 05:20.

Nota: inoltre possibile visionare i file Correc.txt e Details.txt emessi dal software WXSIM-Autolearn. "Correc.txt" mostra una panoramica giorno per giorno dell'andamento degli errori previsionali; "Details.txt" mostra invece l'andamento e gli errori delle previsioni pi dettagliatamente. Anch'essi, come i due grafici sopra, sono elaborati alle 02:00 e caricati sul sito alle 05:20 circa.